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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may slide.

Opposing QBs have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: most in the league.

This year, the feeble Packers pass defense has conceded a colossal 84.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 7th-largest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 49.3 plays per game.

Jonnu Smith has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (14.0 per game) than he did last season (32.0 per game).

Jonnu Smith's 29.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 39.7.

Jonnu Smith has posted many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (52.0).

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

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