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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Steelers to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.

The model projects Jonnu Smith to accrue 5.3 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Jonnu Smith's 85.0% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 81.3% figure.

The Bengals defense has been torched for the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (67.0) versus tight ends this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.

The Steelers have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 49.6 plays per game.

Jonnu Smith has put up quite a few less air yards this year (5.0 per game) than he did last year (32.0 per game).

Jonnu Smith's 25.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 39.7.

The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

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