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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Our trusted projections expect Jonnu Smith to garner 4.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.

Jonnu Smith has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 19.3% since the start of last season, which places him in the 94th percentile among TEs.

As it relates to air yards, Jonnu Smith ranks in the towering 84th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 29.0 per game.

With a stellar 49.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Jonnu Smith ranks among the leading pass-game tight ends in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.10 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Jonnu Smith's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this year, accumulating a measly 4.49 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.08 mark last year.

Since the start of last season, the imposing New England Patriots pass defense has surrendered the 9th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing tight ends: a mere 4.0 YAC.

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