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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-109/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.7% of their plays: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 133.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
  • Jonnu Smith's 51.6% Route Participation Rate this year represents a remarkable decline in his pass game workload over last year's 66.9% mark.
  • Jonnu Smith has notched quite a few less air yards this year (14.0 per game) than he did last year (32.0 per game).
  • Jonnu Smith has accrued substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (12.0) this year than he did last year (52.0).
  • Jonnu Smith's 70.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a remarkable reduction in his receiving skills over last season's 81.3% rate.

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