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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Steelers being a heavy -7.5-point underdog this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 65.3% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • The Steelers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 51.3 plays per game.
  • Jonnu Smith has been much less involved in his team's pass attack this year (11.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (19.6%).
  • After accumulating 32.0 air yards per game last year, Jonnu Smith has produced significantly less this year, currently averaging 15.0 per game.
  • Jonnu Smith's 12.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year represents a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 52.0 figure.
  • Jonnu Smith's 69.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a noteable reduction in his receiving skills over last year's 81.3% mark.

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