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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • To the extent of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.96 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-fastest in football (adjusted for context) at the present time.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Buffalo's collection of LBs has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher rush volume.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.3 per game) this year.
  • Jonnu Smith's 13.1% Target Share this season reflects a material reduction in his passing game utilization over last season's 19.6% rate.
  • Jonnu Smith has notched far fewer air yards this year (17.0 per game) than he did last year (32.0 per game).
  • Jonnu Smith's 15.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year conveys a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving talent over last year's 52.0 rate.

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