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Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.
  • The predictive model expects the Steelers to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • This year, the feeble Bears defense has been gouged for a monstrous 63.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 7th-most in football.
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (86.3%) versus tight ends this year (86.3%).
  • As it relates to linebackers getting after the quarterback, Chicago's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
  • After totaling 32.0 air yards per game last season, Jonnu Smith has gotten worse this season, now boasting 18.0 per game.
  • Jonnu Smith's 27.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 39.7.
  • Jonnu Smith has posted a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (15.0) this year than he did last year (52.0).

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