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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-290/+205).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -290 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -290.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may slide.
  • The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (40.7 per game) this year.
  • Jonathan Taylor ranks in the 81st percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with an impressive 15.2 mark this year.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the best in the league this year.
  • Jonathan Taylor's 92.6% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects an impressive boost in his receiving ability over last season's 56.7% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Colts being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Right now, the 3rd-most run-focused team in football near the end zone (49.2% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Colts.
  • The Colts have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.2 plays per game.
  • Out of all RBs, Jonathan Taylor ranks in the 96th percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, comprising 73.3% of the usage in his team's ground game near the end zone.
  • Jonathan Taylor has notched a puny -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 12th percentile among running backs.

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