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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -330 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.4 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: most in football.
  • Jonathan Taylor's 17.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 12.1.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
  • Jonathan Taylor's 88.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a substantial progression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 56.7% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 2nd-most run-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 51.0% red zone run rate.
  • Jonathan Taylor has received 66.7% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
  • Jonathan Taylor has put up a measly -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 18th percentile when it comes to running backs.

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