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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

Jonathan Taylor Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-300/+160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are predicted by the predictive model to call 65.3 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-most on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Jonathan Taylor ranks in the 77th percentile among running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a staggering 16.0 figure this year.

Jonathan Taylor's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 56.7% to 92.9%.

Jonathan Taylor grades out in the 87th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an exceptional 0.20 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 55.0% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects the Colts to be the 2nd-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 50.7% red zone run rate.

Among all RBs, Jonathan Taylor ranks in the 88th percentile for red zone carries this year, taking on 57.7% of the workload in his offense's ground game near the goal line.

Jonathan Taylor has posted a mere -7.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 12th percentile among running backs.

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