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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Indianapolis Colts will be forced to use backup QB Philip Rivers in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • At a -13-point disadvantage, the Colts are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.
  • Jonathan Taylor places in the 78th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 13.7 figure this year.
  • The Colts offensive line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 4th-most run-centric offense in the league near the end zone (49.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Colts.
  • The leading projections forecast the Colts to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Colts have run the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.8 plays per game.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jonathan Taylor to be much more involved in his team's ground game near the end zone in this week's contest (91.7% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (72.2% in games he has played).
  • Jonathan Taylor has compiled a paltry -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 14th percentile among running backs.

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