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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-198/+170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +152 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.
  • Jonathan Taylor's 15.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in football: 81st percentile for RBs.
  • The Colts offensive line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Jonathan Taylor's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 56.7% to 87.8%.
  • Jonathan Taylor grades out in the 87th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a remarkable 0.15 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 4th-most run-oriented team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 48.8% red zone run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.7 plays per game.
  • Out of all running backs, Jonathan Taylor grades out in the 98th percentile for red zone carries this year, comprising 74.2% of the volume in his offense's run game near the end zone.
  • In regards to air yards, Jonathan Taylor ranks in the paltry 9th percentile among RBs this year, averaging just -5.0 per game.

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