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Jonathan Taylor Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Jonathan Taylor Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+162).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -194 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see 131.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Jonathan Taylor's 13.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 78th percentile for running backs.

The Colts offensive line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Jonathan Taylor's 91.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a meaningful gain in his pass-catching ability over last season's 56.8% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Colts being a 3-point favorite this week.

The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 48.4% red zone run rate.

The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).

While Jonathan Taylor has garnered 74.2% of his offense's red zone carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Indianapolis's run game near the end zone in this week's contest at 85.3%.

Jonathan Taylor has accrued a paltry -5.0 air yards per game this year: just 8th percentile among running backs.

More Jonathan Taylor Player Props

Jonathan Taylor TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 13

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Jonathan Taylor Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13