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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -184 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -4.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Jonathan Taylor's 14.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in the league: 79th percentile for RBs.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the best in the league this year.
  • Jonathan Taylor's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 56.8% to 93.8%.
  • With an exceptional ratio of 0.18 per game through the air (89th percentile), Jonathan Taylor ranks as one of the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to RBs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 5th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 49.1% red zone run rate.
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the model to run just 64.2 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
  • Jonathan Taylor has received 72.9% of his team's red zone carries this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
  • Jonathan Taylor has totaled a mere -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 12th percentile when it comes to running backs.

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