My Account Log Out
 
 
Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-270/+205).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -205 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -270.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Colts to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Jonathan Taylor has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 7.7% this year, which places him in the 76th percentile among running backs.
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Jonathan Taylor's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 56.7% to 93.1%.
  • With a stellar rate of 0.18 per game through the air (85th percentile), Jonathan Taylor ranks among the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to RBs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 4th-most run-heavy team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 48.3% red zone run rate.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 27.4 per game) this year.
  • Jonathan Taylor has received 72.9% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
  • When talking about air yards, Jonathan Taylor ranks in the measly 14th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -4.0 per game.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™