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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 88.5 (+100/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 88.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 88.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 10th-most run-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 40.4% run rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jonathan Taylor to total 20.2 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
  • Among all RBs, Jonathan Taylor ranks in the 100th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 82.0% of the workload in his offense's running game.
  • Jonathan Taylor has averaged 91.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in the league among RBs (100th percentile).
  • Jonathan Taylor's ground effectiveness has improved this season, averaging 5.52 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 4.61 figure last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.09 seconds per play.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • The Chargers defensive tackles project as the best collection of DTs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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