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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 86.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 86.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 86.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 4th-most run-focused team in football (41.8% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Indianapolis Colts.

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 129.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

In this week's game, Jonathan Taylor is expected by the predictive model to finish in the 99th percentile among RBs with 18.9 rush attempts.

Jonathan Taylor's 5.8 adjusted yards per carry this year signifies a meaningful growth in his running talent over last year's 4.6 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.

While Jonathan Taylor has been responsible for 77.8% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a less important option in Indianapolis's run game in this contest at 66.4%.

Jonathan Taylor has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (87.0) this year than he did last year (100.0).

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's collection of DTs has been terrific since the start of last season, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

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