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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 99.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 96.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 99.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 2nd-most run-heavy team in the NFL (44.3% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Indianapolis Colts.
  • The projections expect Jonathan Taylor to accumulate 22.5 carries in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
  • Jonathan Taylor has garnered 82.9% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Jonathan Taylor has picked up 94.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in the NFL when it comes to RBs (100th percentile).
  • Jonathan Taylor's 5.5 adjusted yards per carry this year signifies an impressive growth in his running skills over last year's 4.6 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Colts, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to call the 3rd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a measly 54.9 per game on average).
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

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