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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 93.5 (-104/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 96.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 93.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week, Jonathan Taylor is predicted by the predictive model to land in the 98th percentile among running backs with 22.6 rush attempts.
  • Jonathan Taylor has received 82.1% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
  • Jonathan Taylor has picked up 103.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in football among running backs (100th percentile).
  • Jonathan Taylor's rushing efficiency has been refined this season, accumulating 5.95 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 4.61 rate last season.
  • Jonathan Taylor has improved when it comes to grinding out extra running yardage this year, notching 4.08 yards-after-contact compared to a 2.68 rate last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts have been the 8th-least run-heavy team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 36.6% run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.7 plays per game.
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 85.0 per game) vs. the Jaguars defense this year.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Jacksonville's LB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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