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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 85.5 (-111/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 86.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 85.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Colts being a 3-point favorite this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see 131.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
  • The model projects Jonathan Taylor to accrue 21.7 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Among all RBs, Jonathan Taylor ranks in the 100th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 81.2% of the workload in his team's run game.
  • With an impressive rate of 105.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (100th percentile), Jonathan Taylor stands as one of the leading RBs in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to run on 40.9% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 4th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 89.0 per game) versus the Texans defense this year.
  • The Texans linebackers project as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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