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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 79.5 (-115/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 78.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 79.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Colts as the 8th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 45.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Colts offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per snap.
  • The Colts have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which should mean reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier weather this week.
  • In this contest, Jonathan Taylor is projected by the predictive model to slot into the 99th percentile among RBs with 19.9 rush attempts.
  • Jonathan Taylor has received 77.3% of his team's run game usage last year, putting him in the 99th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing squads have run for the 10th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 104.0 per game) versus the Dolphins defense last year.
  • The Dolphins defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football last year in regard to run defense.

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