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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-138/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Colts have been the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 63.6% pass rate.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may slide.
  • The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (40.7 per game) this year.
  • Jonathan Taylor has gone out for more passes this season (75.9% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (61.8%).
  • The model projects Jonathan Taylor to accrue 3.6 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Colts being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The Colts have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.2 plays per game.

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