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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-116/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Colts have been the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 63.6% pass rate.
  • The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (40.7 per game) this year.
  • Jonathan Taylor has gone out for more passes this season (75.9% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (61.8%).
  • The model projects Jonathan Taylor to accrue 3.6 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Colts being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The Colts have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.2 plays per game.
  • Jonathan Taylor has notched a puny -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 12th percentile among running backs.
  • Jonathan Taylor's ability to pick up extra yardage has declined this year, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.33 figure last year.

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