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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • Jonathan Taylor has run more routes this year (76.1% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (61.8%).
  • In this game, Jonathan Taylor is projected by the predictive model to place in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.2 targets.
  • The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Jonathan Taylor has accrued quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (20.0) this year than he did last year (10.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in football (59.6% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Colts.
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.09 seconds per play.
  • Jonathan Taylor has accumulated a measly -5.0 air yards per game this year: just 14th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Jonathan Taylor's ability to pick up extra yardage has tailed off this year, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.33 mark last year.
  • The Chargers defense has allowed the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 26.0) to running backs this year.

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