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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 129.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.

Jonathan Taylor has run a route on 63.9% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The leading projections forecast Jonathan Taylor to total 3.3 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 4th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Indianapolis Colts.

In regards to air yards, Jonathan Taylor ranks in just the 14th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, totaling just -2.0 per game.

Jonathan Taylor's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a significant decrease in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 8.3% rate.

The Los Angeles Rams defense has given up the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 27.0) versus running backs since the start of last season.

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, projecting as the 4th-best in football.

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