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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by the projection model to run 64.5 total plays in this contest: the 9th-most on the slate this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game against the Broncos defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.

With an impressive 62.4% Route Participation% (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Jonathan Taylor has been among the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect Jonathan Taylor to accumulate 3.3 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Jonathan Taylor has accrued a puny -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 15th percentile among RBs.

With a weak 60.7% Adjusted Completion Rate (2nd percentile) since the start of last season, Jonathan Taylor rates among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs.

With a subpar 4.9 adjusted yards per target (15th percentile) since the start of last season, Jonathan Taylor stands among the worst pass-catching RBs in football.

With a poor 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) since the start of last season, Jonathan Taylor has been among the top running backs in the pass game in the NFL in the open field.

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