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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Colts, who are -4-point underdogs.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • With an extraordinary 70.1% Route Participation% (96th percentile) this year, Jonathan Taylor rates as one of the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • The predictive model expects Jonathan Taylor to garner 4.2 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 10th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 59.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a measly 54.9 per game on average).
  • Jonathan Taylor has put up a paltry -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 17th percentile among running backs.
  • Jonathan Taylor's talent in picking up extra yardage have declined this year, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.33 figure last year.

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