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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Indianapolis Colts will be forced to use backup QB Philip Rivers in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • At a -13-point disadvantage, the Colts are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
  • The Colts rank as the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.2% pass rate.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.
  • Jonathan Taylor has run a route on 70.6% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Colts to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Colts have run the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.8 plays per game.
  • Jonathan Taylor has compiled a paltry -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 14th percentile among running backs.
  • Jonathan Taylor's ability to grind out extra yardage has tailed off this season, notching a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.33 mark last season.
  • The Seahawks pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.2%) to RBs this year (78.2%).

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