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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 9th-most pass-focused team in the league (62.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Colts.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see 131.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Jonathan Taylor has been more involved as a potential target this season (72.5% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (61.8%).
  • In this game, Jonathan Taylor is anticipated by our trusted projection set to place in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.4 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Colts being a 3-point favorite this week.
  • The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).
  • Jonathan Taylor has accrued a paltry -5.0 air yards per game this year: just 8th percentile among running backs.
  • Jonathan Taylor's talent in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this year, accumulating a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.33 mark last year.
  • This year, the tough Texans defense has yielded the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing RBs: a puny 5.2 yards.

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