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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-116/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -4.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 8th-most pass-focused team in the NFL has been the Colts.
  • Jonathan Taylor has been used more as a potential target this season (73.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (61.8%).
  • Our trusted projections expect Jonathan Taylor to accumulate 3.2 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the model to run just 64.2 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
  • Jonathan Taylor has totaled a mere -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 12th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Jonathan Taylor's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a noteable decrease in his effectiveness in space over last season's 8.3% figure.

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