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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Colts rank as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.7% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Colts to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Jonathan Taylor's 74.2% Route% this season reflects a significant growth in his passing offense volume over last season's 61.8% mark.
  • The model projects Jonathan Taylor to accumulate 3.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 27.4 per game) this year.
  • When talking about air yards, Jonathan Taylor ranks in the measly 14th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -4.0 per game.
  • Jonathan Taylor's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a material reduction in his effectiveness in space over last year's 8.3% figure.
  • This year, the stout Falcons defense has conceded a meager 25.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 8th-fewest in the league.

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