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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+104/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Colts are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.8 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jonathan Taylor has accrued a mere -3.0 air yards per game this year: just 9th percentile among running backs.
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • Jonathan Taylor has accrued significantly fewer receiving yards per game (12.0) this year than he did last year (17.0).
  • Jonathan Taylor's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 82.5% to 77.1%.
  • Jonathan Taylor's pass-game efficiency has worsened this season, accumulating just 3.72 yards-per-target vs a 6.12 rate last season.

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