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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-112/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect Jonathan Taylor to total 21.8 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Among all RBs, Jonathan Taylor ranks in the 100th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 83.4% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Philip Rivers.
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Colts being a -4-point underdog this week.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to run on 40.2% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Colts have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 54.8 plays per game.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

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