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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects Jonathan Taylor to total 22.0 carries in this game, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
  • Jonathan Taylor has earned 82.5% of his team's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Indianapolis Colts will be forced to use backup QB Philip Rivers in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • At a -13-point disadvantage, the Colts are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 11th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 40.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Colts to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Colts have run the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.8 plays per game.

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