Jonathan Taylor Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Carries

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 29, 2022 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to accumulate 20.6 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
Jonathan Taylor has earned 80.1% of his offense's carries this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among RBs.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 3rd-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 39.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the worst in football this year at opening holes for runners.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive ends project as the 4th-best unit in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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