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Jonathan Mingo

Jonathan Mingo Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jonathan Mingo Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+960/-1400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1300 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cowboys have been the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 60.3% red zone pass rate.
  • The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Denver's group of DTs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 7th-best in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jonathan Mingo has been been lightly used his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 1.5% last year, which ranks him in the 15th percentile among wideouts.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Cowboys grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
  • With a feeble 39.3% Adjusted Catch% (9th percentile) last year, Jonathan Mingo stands as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to wideouts.
  • Jonathan Mingo ranks in the 1st percentile among WRs as it relates to catching TDs last year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.
  • This year, the imposing Broncos defense has allowed a paltry 64.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 2nd-best rate in the league.

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