My Account Log Out
 
 
Jonathan Mingo

Jonathan Mingo Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jonathan Mingo Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+620/-840).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -770 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -840.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Dallas Cowboys.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
  • The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cowboys this year (a massive 59.8 per game on average).
  • This year, the shaky Commanders pass defense has conceded a colossal 68.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 4th-highest rate in football.
  • This year, the anemic Commanders defense has allowed a colossal 1.07 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing wideouts: the 6th-highest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • With a middling 0.0% Red Zone Target% (0th percentile) this year, Jonathan Mingo places as one of the wideouts with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.
  • After averaging 27.0 air yards per game last year, Jonathan Mingo has seen a big decline this year, now boasting 10.0 per game.
  • Jonathan Mingo's 4.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 20.2.
  • The Dallas O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™