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Jonathan Mingo

Jonathan Mingo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jonathan Mingo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Dallas Cowboys.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
  • The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cowboys this year (a massive 59.8 per game on average).
  • Jonathan Mingo is positioned as one of the leading wideouts in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging an excellent 3.72 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 85th percentile.
  • This year, the shaky Commanders pass defense has conceded a colossal 68.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 4th-highest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Jonathan Mingo's 1.4% Target Rate this year conveys a substantial regression in his passing attack usage over last year's 8.0% mark.
  • After averaging 27.0 air yards per game last year, Jonathan Mingo has seen a big decline this year, now boasting 10.0 per game.
  • The Dallas O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Jonathan Mingo comes in as one of the bottom wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 11.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 11th percentile when it comes to WRs.

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