Jonathan Mingo Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jonathan Mingo

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Mingo

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jonathan Mingo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The 2nd-most plays in football have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a massive 63.5 per game on average).
Jonathan Mingo has run a route on 93.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
In this game, Jonathan Mingo is anticipated by our trusted projection set to place in the 82nd percentile among wideouts with 7.2 targets.
Jonathan Mingo has compiled a whopping 71.0 air yards per game this year: 77th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Carolina Panthers to pass on 51.7% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Carolina O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Jonathan Mingo ranks as one of the worst possession receivers in the league, hauling in just 46.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 1st percentile among wide receivers
With a bad 4.8 adjusted yards per target (1st percentile) this year, Jonathan Mingo rates as one of the bottom pass-catching wide receivers in football.

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