Jonathan Mingo Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jonathan Mingo

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Mingo

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Carolina Panthers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 3:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Jonathan Mingo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers offensive strategy to tilt 6.6% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (a monstrous 62.1 per game on average).
Jonathan Mingo has run a route on 94.1% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Jonathan Mingo has received a staggering 26.7% of his team's air yards this year: 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Panthers to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game versus the Titans defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year.
Jonathan Mingo profiles as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football, completing a mere 46.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 2nd percentile among wideouts
With a bad 4.3 adjusted yards per target (1st percentile) this year, Jonathan Mingo rates as one of the weakest pass-catching WRs in football.

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