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Johnny Mundt

Johnny Mundt Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Johnny Mundt Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+900/-980).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +900.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 5th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.3% red zone pass rate.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.3 plays per game.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
  • The projections expect Johnny Mundt to be a more important option in his team's passing game near the end zone in this game (5.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jaguars are projected by the projection model to call only 61.9 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Johnny Mundt's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 76.4% to 44.5%.
  • The receiving touchdown line reads "0" on the back of Johnny Mundt's trading card this year.
  • This year, the tough Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded a feeble 0.29 passing TDs per game to opposing tight ends: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 4th-most touchdowns in the league (1.29 per game) vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year.

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