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Johnny Mundt

Johnny Mundt Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Johnny Mundt Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+950/-1200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jaguars to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The model projects the Jaguars to call the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.4 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a massive 59.3 per game on average).
  • The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.7 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a lousy 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) this year, Johnny Mundt stands as one of the TEs with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.
  • Johnny Mundt's 56.1% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects an impressive diminishment in his receiving prowess over last season's 76.4% rate.
  • Johnny Mundt grades out in the 1st percentile among TEs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has given up the 7th-fewest receiving touchdowns in football to tight ends: 0.33 per game this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been terrific this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

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