My Account Log Out

reorder

Johnny Mundt

Johnny Mundt Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

Johnny Mundt Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2700/-21000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -9000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -21000.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 129.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 7th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.5 per game on average).

When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Jaguars profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (80.3%) to tight ends since the start of last season (80.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 7th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.

Johnny Mundt has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks him in the 1st percentile among tight ends.

Johnny Mundt's 3.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 9.2.

Johnny Mundt has not scored a touchdown through the air this year.

More Johnny Mundt Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™