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Johnny Mundt

Johnny Mundt Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Johnny Mundt Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2800/-13500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -7500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -13500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league (63.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a colossal 58.9 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.3 per game) this year.
  • With a bottom-tier 1.2% Red Zone Target% (12th percentile) this year, Johnny Mundt stands among the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL.
  • Johnny Mundt's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 76.4% to 52.1%.
  • This year, Johnny Mundt has not caught any receiving TDs this year.

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