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Johnny Mundt Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Johnny Mundt Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+600/-780).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +610 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +600.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 61.0% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The Jaguars have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The predictive model expects Johnny Mundt to be much more involved in his team's pass attack near the end zone in this contest (9.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars have been the 9th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 51.5% red zone run rate.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Johnny Mundt's 44.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 76.4% mark.

This year, Johnny Mundt has not caught any TDs through the air this year.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the lowest level in the league versus the Houston Texans defense this year (62.9% Adjusted Completion%).

More Johnny Mundt Player Props

Johnny Mundt TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Johnny Mundt Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10