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Johnny Mundt

Johnny Mundt Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Johnny Mundt Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-172).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -192 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in football (63.0% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Jaguars.
  • The Jaguars have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • While Johnny Mundt has accounted for 3.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Jacksonville's pass game this week at 10.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • With a meager 0.6 adjusted catches per game (6th percentile) this year, Johnny Mundt rates among the worst pass-catching TEs in the league.
  • Johnny Mundt's 44.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 76.4% mark.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Houston's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 7th-best in the league.

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