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Johnny Mundt

Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 5th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.3 plays per game.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
  • This year, the deficient Raiders defense has been torched for the 9th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a monstrous 8.71 yards.
  • The Raiders safeties profile as the 2nd-worst group of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jaguars are projected by the projection model to call only 61.9 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Johnny Mundt's 20.4% Route% this year indicates a significant decline in his passing offense volume over last year's 30.4% figure.
  • Johnny Mundt has accumulated many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (5.0) this season than he did last season (12.0).
  • Johnny Mundt's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 76.4% to 44.5%.
  • Johnny Mundt's 4.1 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a material diminishment in his receiving talent over last year's 6.1 mark.

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