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Johnny Mundt

Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Jaguars, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.4 per game) this year.
  • Johnny Mundt ranks as one of the worst tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a lowly 7.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 11th percentile among tight ends.
  • Johnny Mundt's 44.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a noteworthy decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 76.4% rate.

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