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Johnny Mundt

Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Johnny Mundt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in football (63.0% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Jaguars.
  • The Jaguars have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • While Johnny Mundt has accounted for 3.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Jacksonville's pass game this week at 10.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Johnny Mundt has accrued substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (5.0) this season than he did last season (12.0).
  • Johnny Mundt's 44.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 76.4% mark.
  • Johnny Mundt's receiving effectiveness has declined this year, averaging a mere 4.14 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 6.07 rate last year.
  • The Houston Texans defense has conceded the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 42.0) vs. TEs this year.

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