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John Metchie III Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

John Metchie III Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+700/-940).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +880 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +700.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

The predictive model expects John Metchie III to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack near the goal line in this game (6.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the most run-focused offense in football near the end zone (53.1% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Philadelphia Eagles.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.63 seconds per snap.

After accumulating 24.0 air yards per game last year, John Metchie III has undergone a big decline this year, now pacing 0.0 per game.

More John Metchie III Player Props

John Metchie III TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

John Metchie III Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8